Ending Roe Was Supposed to Reduce Abortions. It Didn’t.

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By Ketrin Agustine

Will Reid, Alex Stern and

Marion Lozano and


From the moment that Roe v. Wade was overturned, the question was just how much the change would reduce abortions across the United States. Now, more than a year later, the numbers are in.

Margot Sanger-Katz, who writes about health care for The Upshot, explains why the results are not what anyone had expected.


Ending Roe Was Supposed to Reduce Abortions. It Didn’t.

Margot Sanger-Katz, a domestic correspondent for The New York Times.

A room full of armchairs is empty.
The waiting room at the Planned Parenthood in St. Louis. Missouri has banned abortion in almost all circumstances.Jamie Kelter Davis for The New York Times
  • The first estimate of births since Dobbs found that almost a quarter of women who would have gotten abortions in states that banned it carried their pregnancies to term.

  • The first full-year census of U.S. abortion providers showed significant increases in abortion in states where it’s legal.

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Margot Sanger-Katz contributed reporting.

Fact-checking by Susan Lee.

The Daily is made by Rachel Quester, Lynsea Garrison, Clare Toeniskoetter, Paige Cowett, Michael Simon Johnson, Brad Fisher, Chris Wood, Jessica Cheung, Stella Tan, Alexandra Leigh Young, Lisa Chow, Eric Krupke, Marc Georges, Luke Vander Ploeg, M.J. Davis Lin, Dan Powell, Sydney Harper, Mike Benoist, Liz O. Baylen, Asthaa Chaturvedi, Rachelle Bonja, Diana Nguyen, Marion Lozano, Corey Schreppel, Rob Szypko, Elisheba Ittoop, Mooj Zadie, Patricia Willens, Rowan Niemisto, Jody Becker, Rikki Novetsky, John Ketchum, Nina Feldman, Will Reid, Carlos Prieto, Ben Calhoun, Susan Lee, Lexie Diao, Mary Wilson, Alex Stern, Dan Farrell, Sophia Lanman, Shannon Lin, Diane Wong, Devon Taylor, Alyssa Moxley, Summer Thomad, Olivia Natt, Daniel Ramirez and Brendan Klinkenberg.

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